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Sunday, May 31, 2026

Pathologizing Psychologists Fail to Explain Apparition Sightings

In my widely-read post "Pathologizing Scientists May Try to Stigmatize Witnesses of the Spooky," I described the bungling methods of a pair of scientists who have attempted to spread insinuations of psychological problems in people reporting that they saw spooky things. The latest example of bungling work of this type by a pathologizing scientist comes in the form of an article at "The Conversation" site, an article by psychologist Melissa Maffeo. The article is entitled " Is my brain wired to never see a ghost? A psychologist on three factors that make a paranormal experience more likely." We get more evidence of mudslinging weaponized psychology,  resembling the folly depicted below. 

pathologizing psychologist

In the article Maffeo shows no evidence of having studied apparition sightings. She cites not one single report of anyone who claimed to see an apparition. A look at her papers on Google Scholar shows no papers showing signs of scholarship of reports of apparition sightings. 

Maffeo offers three very lame explanations for why people may see apparitions. Her first attempt at an explanation (which she called "Haunted Factor #1") is the extremely lame explanation of "environmental stimuli." She starts out by referring to electromagnetic fields, which can be measured by a portable EMF detector sometimes marketed as a "ghost detector."  

EMF fields might explain why you might get a higher-than-expected reading on an EMF device. But EMF fields are worthless in explaining apparition sightings. I have published 85 posts describing apparition sightings, which you can read here (continue to press Older Posts at the bottom right to read them all). Not one of the many hundreds of apparition sightings I describe involved a case in which someone got a high EMF reading while reporting seeing an apparition about the same time. 

Maffeo describes a scientific study in which people were put in a special room, and bombarded with infrasound and complex electromagnetic fields (EMFs). The study's paper found that "although many participants reported anomalous sensations of various kinds, the number reported was unrelated to experimental condition."  The paper mentions subjects reporting "mildly anomalous sensations," but does not mention any subject reporting seeing an apparition. The paper says, "The results reported do not support the idea that complex EMFs play a role in inducing anomalous experience."  So Maffeo's "Haunted Factor #1" is a flop as an explanation for people seeing apparitions. 

Maffeo lists "Neurological Mixups" as "Haunted Factor #2." She refers to a study involving an epilepsy patient who had electrodes implanted in her brain. After an electrical current was sent to her brain, the female supposedly reported a "creepy feeling that somebody is close by."  The study fails to qualify as good evidence, because we do not have any transcripts of interviews in which this effect was reported. We merely have some short quotes from a subject, quotes which are not full sentences; and we do not know whether these quotes are in response to leading questions designed to elicit particular types of anomalous reports from the subject. In any case, what was reported was not an apparition sighting, and the case is of no value in explaining apparition sightings in people who do not have electrodes implanted in their brains, people with brains not being artificially stimulated by electricity sent into the brain from an outside source. 

Maffeo also refers to the 2002 paper "Stimulating illusory own-body perceptions." This 2002 paper has some quotes by a subject who the authors had brain-zapped with electricity, by inserting electrodes in her brain. The authors have attempted to portray this as evidence of an artificially induced out-of-body experience. But the only sentence that the paper quotes from the subject is one that does not indicate a full out-of-body experience. That sentence is this: "I see myself lying in bed, from above, but I only see my legs and lower trunk." That sounds like some weird electricity-induced perception anomaly that is not properly described as an out-of-body experience. During an out-of-body experience a person will typically report leaving his body and seeing his entire body (not just the legs and lower trunk) from outside of the body. Eager to report some experimental induction of an out-of-body experience, our authors seem to have taken some account that does not match those of out-of-body experiences, and called that an out-of-body experience. The authors make this claim: "Two further stimulations induced the same sensation, which included an instantaneous feeling of 'lightness' and 'floating' about two metres above the bed, close to the ceiling." Since this is not an actual full-sentence quote from the subject, it has very little value as evidence. A second-hand account of a person's weird experience during brain zapping (by some other person who did not have that experience) is pretty worthless as evidence. What would we have read from a transcript of what the subject said, one including any questions the subject was asked? We have no idea. 

The paper did nothing to explain out-of-body experiences, since such things occur in people who do not have electrodes in their heads, and are not receiving inputs of electricity from an outside source. And the paper does nothing to explain apparition sightings. 

The final part of Maffeo's discussing of her "Haunted Factor #2" is a discussion of the rare phenomenon of sleep paralysis. This does nothing to explain 95% of apparition sightings and 95% of out-of-body experiences, which do not occur during any such sleep paralysis. 

Maffeo then offers a "Haunted Factor #3" of "Personality Traits." Maffeo now moves into pathologizing mode, playing the game of "stigmatize the witnesses." She claims, "There’s a growing body of research that suggests people with certain personality traits are more likely to believe in the paranormal." She links to a page that has the journal Nature as its source, but strangely has no listed author.  It's an "AI overview" page that reads like AI slop. 

Maffeo then refers to the very dubious socially-constructed concept of "schizotypy." She states this:

"There’s a growing body of research that suggests people with certain personality traits are more likely to believe in the paranormal. For instance, some people are hyperaware of unconscious perceptions and ideas, which then permeate their consciousness. Often, these traits are associated with magical thinking, distorted or unusual thoughts, disorganized behavior and, sometimes, trouble forming close relationships. Psychologists refer to this set of traits as schizotypy. They’re related to schizophrenia, although being high in schizotypy doesn’t mean you will be diagnosed with the disorder of schizophrenia. People with high levels of schizotypy are more likely to believe in the paranormal."

I quote in the appendix of this post how discusses this concept of "schizotypy," and states that "This test for schizotypy is bogus." The term "schizotypy" seems to have been hoisted as a smear word to stigmatize and shame various nonconformists or believers in things that materialists rather that you not believe in. In the appendix of this post  describes a checklist for "schizotypy" characteristics, which he says is similar to one on a page of the Mayo Clinic website. He does not mention that one of the items on that Mayo Clinic checklist is "belief in special powers, such as mental telepathy." And looking at the paper here and the paper here offering a "scale" to assess "schizotypy," I see in both a checklist in which anyone reporting experience with ESP or a sixth sense would be judged to have a "symptom of schizotypy." So Matteo's claim that "people with high levels of schizotypy are more likely to believe in the paranormal" is pretty meaningless,  given that schizotypy has been defined so that anyone who believes in telepathy will score higher on a "schizotypy checklist." 

What is going on here is weaponized psychology involving circular reasoning.  A particular psychiatric-sounding term of abuse "schizotypy" was invented, without anyone giving a cohesive definition of such a term. Some alleged "characteristics of schizotypy" were arbitrarily listed, including "odd beliefs or magical thinking that’s inconsistent with cultural norms,"  "odd thinking and speech patterns," and "belief in special powers, such as mental telepathy."  Now anyone who fails to speak like a materialist would (and anyone who deeply studies the two hundred years of evidence for ESP) can then be conveniently shamed and stigmatized as being guilty of "schizotypy." This seems like very bad psychology bungling by pathologizing psychologists eager to attach badges of shame on sane well-functioning people. The nebulous term "schizotypy" is a not-really-scientific term of abuse similar to the equally nebulous and not-really-scientific term of abuse "transliminality" discussed here

Because the experimental evidence for ESP includes very well-replicated results such as the Ganzfeld experiments and extremely convincing results such as reported by professors Rhine and Riess, we should note that when psychologists include belief in telepathy as a symptom on a checklist of a socially constructed syndrome they call "schizotypy" (consisting of an arbitrary disjointed potpourri of unconnected "symptoms"), such psychologists have gone very far astray. It's kind of like someone inventing a checklist of 10 "symptoms" of something he decides to call "Wilkinson's Syndrome," and listing belief in the reality of social injustice as one of the symptoms. 

A recent paper ("Personality Facets Systematically Relate to Nonordinary Experiences") attempted to look for a relation between personality characteristics and reports of paranormal experiences. Contrary to Matteo's claim of a link between personality traits and reports of the paranormal, the paper failed to find any strong evidence of such a link. 

Maffeo seems to be engaging in the type of mudslinging that goes on when someone vaguely tries to tar someone by suggesting "associations" or "similarities" between that person and some other unsavory-seeming or despised type of person. She lists no real evidence of a correlation between this "schizotypy" and schizophrenia, no evidence that people who reported apparitions have this "schizotypy," and no evidence that people who see apparitions have schizophrenia.  The type of hallucinations typically occurring in schizophrenia are auditory hallucinations, in which people hear voices, rather than seeing human forms. 

Wrapping things up, Maffeo offers the lamest attempt to explain apparition sightings, the kind of explanation that would probably only be offered by someone who had failed to decently study reports of such sightings. She states this:

"Consider a person who believes in paranormal phenomena who experiences a natural change in electromagnetic fields or an episode of sleep paralysis. Those experiences induce unusual sensations that this person cannot explain. Searching for meaning in ambiguity, this person distorts their distinction between internally and externally generated sensations. They settle on the only explanation that makes sense to them – that this strange feeling they experienced was a ghost."

This fails miserably as an explanation for apparition sightings. There is zero evidence that people reporting apparition sightings ever experienced any such thing as "a natural change in electromagnetic fields"; and goofy, reckless experiments bombarding people with electromagnetic fields fail to ever produce apparition sightings. The vast majority of reports of apparition sightings (more than 95%) occur in people who are not experiencing any such thing as "sleep paralysis"; and probably 90% of them are reports from people who were not lying down when the reported event occurred. And very few of the rare people who report "sleep paralysis"  report seeing apparitions. Also, in reports of apparition sightings there is only rarely a claim of an unusual sensation before the apparition was seen. 

Maffeo's final reference to a paper is a reference to a paper in which some 22 people were taken to a building, with half of them being told that the location was haunted. The paper authors say "our model predicts that demand characteristics such as the mere suggestion that a location is haunted are also sufficient to induce poltergeist-like perceptions such as reports of a 'sensed presence,'  apparitions, or other anomalous sensations." But contrary to such a prediction, none of the 11 people told that the house was haunted reported seeing an apparition. So the paper gives no support for Matteo's insinuation that belief in the paranormal helps explain apparition sightings. 

Maffeo hasn't done anything at all to explain apparition sightings. All that she has given is another sad example of weaponized psychology in which psychologists seem to be eager to pathologize healthy witnesses of the spooky.

Maffeo ends her article with these "holier than thou" sentences trying to suggest her superiority to the witnesses she has tried to stigmatize:

"I’m pretty sure I don’t have personality traits like schizotypy. I don’t believe in the paranormal. And I don’t think I’ll ever see a ghost."

But this smug assertion of superiority may be inappropriate at the end of an article that fails so badly to explain what it is trying to explain

One of the reasons why apparition sightings cannot be explained by anything Maffeo mentions is that there are very many cases of people who saw an apparition of someone they did not know had died, with the witness soon learning the person did die at about the time the apparition was seen (discussed in the 18 posts here). Also not explained by anything Maffeo mentions is the fact that we often get reports of multiple witnesses seeing the same apparition. To read about such reports, see my posts below:

While materialists would like to dismiss apparitions as a relic of the past, a look at the frequency of the term "ghost" using the Google Ngram viewer shows no sign that references to ghosts or apparitions are fading away. To the contrary, as shown below, the 21st century is showing a strong uptick in references to ghosts. 


Appendix:  on Schizotypy

In a page at the Mad in America website (which has many great articles exposing the overconfident errors of psychiatrists),   refers to "schizotypy" as "a very vague and highly dubious concept." Below is a quote from an article at the Mad at America site, an article in which   discusses this dubious socially constructed term "schizotypy", which does not correspond to any distinct thing in human minds. I'll quote almost all of what he says, although I suspend judgment about some of his complaints about psychiatrists. He states this:

Schizotypy is a very strange construct. I came across this diagnosis because a Danish filmmaker I worked with who made the film “Diagnosing Psychiatry,” got the diagnosis when she became stressed over a difficult divorce.

She jokes about this diagnosis in her film, and I looked it up on the Internet where there was a screening test for schizotypal personality disorder. The test reflects quite well how this construct is described on the Mayo Clinical website and by the DSM. There were nine questions and you should reply true or false, or yes or no, to each one.

  1. “Incorrect interpretations of events, such as a feeling that something which is actually harmless or inoffensive has a direct personal meaning.” This is a very vague question, and many people interpret events incorrectly or take them personally.
  2. “Odd beliefs or magical thinking that’s inconsistent with cultural norms.” That’s an interesting one. In Denmark, a young psychiatrist disagreed with the odd cultural norm at the department, which was to institute preventative treatment with neuroleptics for schizotypy. Is this psychiatrist then abnormal?
  3. “Unusual perceptions, including illusions.” Most psychiatrists would need to say yes to this question. Just think about the illusion called the chemical imbalance.
  4. “Odd thinking and speech patterns.” Surely, most psychiatrists display odd thinking, maintaining the lie about the chemical imbalance and many other lies, and also denying totally what other people see clearly, including their own patients, e.g. that psychiatric drugs do more harm than good.
  5. “Suspicious or paranoid thoughts, such as the belief that someone’s out to get you.” If you are detained in a psychiatric department, such a reaction is normal and understandable. The staff surely is out to “get you,” namely to treat you forcefully with neuroleptics against your will. When psychiatric leaders use terms about their opponents such as “antipsychiatry” and “conspiracy,” can it then be considered a “yes” to item 5?
  6. “Flat emotions, appearing aloof and isolated.” This is what psychiatric drugs do to people, so if they weren’t abnormal to begin with, the psychiatrists will ensure that they become abnormal.
  7. “Odd, eccentric or peculiar behaviour or appearance.” One definition of madness is doing the same thing again and again expecting a different result, which is what psychiatrists do all the time. I would call that an odd, eccentric and peculiar behaviour.
  8. “Lack of close friends or confidants other than relatives.” This is what psychiatric drugs do to people, particularly neuroleptics.... 
  9. “Excessive social anxiety that doesn’t diminish with familiarity.” If you are detained in a psychiatric department, such a reaction is normal and understandable.

There was no explanation about the number of points needed for a diagnosis, so I tried the test a couple of times. If you have 5 out of 9 positive replies, you are told: “You are suffering from Schizotypal Personality Disorder … You must talk with a professional mental health expert.”

If you have 4 out of 9, the message is: “You have some symptoms and might be suffering from this disorder. You have got few points but according to DSM if you agree with three or four questions on this test, you might have developed this personality disorder. Please check with your mental expert.”

This test for schizotypy is bogus. Amusingly, many psychiatrists would be suspected of having this disorder because they test positive for items 3, 4 and 7, and they would then need to consult a “mental expert” who would likely also have 3 positives if tested. What is less amusing is that the test provides circular evidence for the patients who, even if they are normal, might test positive when they have been treated inhumanely by psychiatrists, including being forcefully treated with neuroleptics.

Thursday, May 28, 2026

No, AI Is Not a "Darwin Moment," and Darwinism Flunked the Software Test

 Yesterday I read an opinion piece in the Washington Post entitled "The Next Darwin Moment Has Arrived." Although the article by John MacCormick was part of some newsletter called Superintelligent, the essay did not sound superintelligent, but sounded rather the opposite of superintelligent.  Containing many misstatements, the article attempted to convince us that advances in so-called "artificial intelligence" constitute a "Darwin moment" doing something to bolster the claims of Charles Darwin about an origin of species by blind, unguided processes. 

John MacCormick is a professor of computer science at the small little-known Dickinson College in Lehigh, Pennsylvania, a professor who has written four books, none of them on topics outside of the field of computer science. Looking at his papers on Google Scholar, I fail to find any evidence of scholarship by MacCormick on topics such as biological origins, biology, neuroscience, physics, biochemistry, philosophy or psychology; and you can get a PhD in computer science without studying any of the topics I just mentioned. So when I cite below enormous errors that MacCormick makes when making the most sweeping and dogmatic pontifications on some of these topics, we can charitably attribute his huge blunders to ignorance rather than deliberate deception. 

MacCormick starts out with this false claim: 

"Can computer programs emulate the entire range of human thought, including creativity and intuition? There are good reasons to believe the answer is yes, especially given the recent progress in artificial intelligence."

No, there are not any good reasons to believe any such thing, and so-called artificial intelligence does not actually have any such thing as intuition or intelligence. Human minds do many things that so-called artificial intelligence completely fails to do, such as understand things. No computer understands anything. If you got the impression that a computer understands anything, it is because so much of human-written words have been collected by computers doing web-crawling activity in which online text written by humans is gobbled up by computers, and put in computer databases, databases that are queried to get the smart-sounding answers given in things such as "AI overviews."

The Cambridge Dictionary defines intelligence as "the ability to learn, understand, and make judgments or have opinions that are based on reason." Because computers do not actually understand anything, they do not have any real intelligence. The term "artificial intelligence" is a misnomer not correctly describing what is going on is so-called AI systems. 

MacCormick boasts about "PhD level performance in physics and chemistry." Nowadays the corruption of scientific literature by AI slop is actually a very bad problem. More and more scientific papers contain AI-generated paragraphs that often contain false statements. Here is what an "AI overview" tells us about this problem:

"The proliferation of 'AI slop'  in scientific papers is recognized as a major crisis in academic publishing. It refers to LLM-generated text, fake datasets, and fabricated citations flooding peer-reviewed journals and preprint servers. The issue is largely driven by a 'publish-or-perish' culture and content mills." 

recent article by Ross Andersen in The Atlantic is entitled, "Science Is Drowning in AI Slop." 

AI slop in scientific papers

A Google Gemini infographic on AI slop

MacCormick makes this incorrect claim:

"Computer scientists have known since the 1950s that computer programs can, in principle, emulate any aspect of human thought. This is because the digital calculations inside a computer can emulate the inputs and outputs of the neurons in a human brain."

No, computer scientists have never known any such thing.  There is no robust evidence that the understanding and thought that human minds display are produced by brains. The claim that thoughts and understanding are produced by brains is simply a groundless old speech custom of professors such as MacCormick, similar to the groundless old speech custom of claiming that Charles Darwin explained the origin of species. No biologist has any understanding of how a brain could produce thought or understanding.  There are actually very many good reasons for believing that the brain cannot possibly be the source of the human mind. They include these and very many others:

  • the fact that there are many dramatic cases in the medical literature of people who had more or less normal minds even though large fractions of the brain (or most of their brains) were destroyed due to injury or disease, including super-dramatic cases of people with good minds but less than 15 percent of their brains;
  • the fact that human brains (all very severely handicapped by a lack of any addresses and indexes, cumulative synaptic delays and unreliable synaptic transmission) are way too slow and way too noisy to explain the wonders of human best mental performances, which include endless wonders of blazing fast calculation, blazing fast precise recall, blazing fast memorization,  and the recitation with perfect accuracy of very long bodies of text consisting of hundreds of pages;  
  • the fact that there is no understanding of how brains could achieve the instantaneous recall of distant, obscure memories that humans routinely show, given the lack of any coordinate system or addressing or indexing in a brain that might allow some exact position of a stored memory to be very quickly found;
  • the fact that there is no understanding whatsoever of how concepts, visual information, long series of words, and episodic memories could ever be physically stored by a brain in any way that would translate all these diverse types of information into synapse states or neuron states;
  • the fact that the microscopic examination of very many thousands of brains of recently deceased people (and the microscopic examination of endless samples of brain tissue extracted from living people) has never produced the slightest trace of learned information, something that would have been discovered in brains 50 years ago if brains stored memories and brains are the source of the human mind;
  • the fact that for more than 50 years numerous people have reported vivid near-death experiences and out-of-body experiences occurring after their hearts stopped and their brains were inactive, during times when their brains had flatlined, and they should have had no consciousness at all (under "brains make minds" assumptions), with many of the observation details they reported seeing during such brain-inexplicable should-have-been-utterly-unconscious experiences being independently verified (as described here).

MacCormick's  reasoning is something along the lines that artificial intelligence will be so brilliant that it will make us think that we are nothing very special, and therefore make us more likely to believe in Darwinism, the idea that humans and all other life forms arose because of unguided natural processes. This is all very bad sophistry, a case of utterly fallacious reasoning. Artificial intelligence is the result of deliberate purposeful engineering by humans. Getting an impressive result from deliberate purposeful engineering by humans does nothing to show the credibility of claims that stunning results in biology all occur from accidental unguided processes that do not involve deliberate purposeful engineering.

MacCormick is using fallacious reasoning similar to the appeals to artificial selection long made by Darwinists.  An example of such an appeal is documented in my post here. I describe how Neil deGrasse Tyson described an artificial selection by which human dogs arose from wolves, due to the purposeful intervention of humans over many thousands of years, humans interested in getting domesticated dogs. Tyson used this as evidence of the power of natural evolution, saying it helped show that natural evolution can produce "all the beauty and diversity of life." The reasoning was fallacious. The domestication of dogs was an example of purposeful, deliberately directed artificial selection. You do not do anything to show the power of unguided, undirected natural evolution by showing something that occurred by  purposeful, deliberately directed artificial selection. 

Similarly, you do not do anything at all to substantiate Darwinism (a theory that biological organisms all arose from unguided natural events) by referring to some impressive results coming from so-called artificial intelligence (the result of purposeful engineering by humans). Impressive results coming from AI server farms manufactured by humans do not do anything to show the power of unguided Darwinian evolution to produce impressive results in biology. 

In his article MacCormick makes some of the false claims that occur so commonly in the articles of Darwinists. He states this:

"First, life itself was once thought to have a unique quality that distinguishes it from inanimate matter. This theory, known as vitalism, died out in the early 20th century and today has no scientific credibility. Modern biochemistry has revealed that all life can be explained in terms of physics and chemistry.

The claim about life having no "unique quality that distinguishes it from inanimate matter" is very false. Life has many qualities that distinguish it from from inanimate matter. The claim that vitalism "died out in the early 20th century" is equally false. Vitalism survived, and still has many adherents.  The claim that "modern biochemistry has revealed that all life can be explained in terms of physics and chemistry" is enormously false. To the contrary, there are endless mysteries of life that physics and chemistry utterly fail to explain. 

Scientists lack any credible explanation of so simple a thing as how human cells are able to reproduce; they lack any credible explanation of the most basic mental processes such as thinking and memory; scientists lack any convincing explanation of how proteins are able to fold into the 3D shapes needed for their function; scientists are unable to explain how so many useful protein complexes (often called "molecular machines") are able to form; and since DNA is not a specification for making a human, or any organ, cell or organelle, scientists lack any credible explanation for the nine-month progression from a speck-sized zygote to an adult human. For a long and deep discussion of some of these huge mysteries that physics, chemistry and biology have gigantically failed to solve, read my post "Problems a Hundred Miles Over Our Heads" here, and also read my posts here and here

problems scientists have not solved

Next MacCormick parrots the worst falsehood told by Charles Darwin, the claim that there are no qualitative differences between animal minds and human minds. Darwin told that enormous lie on page 99 of The Descent of Man when he stated, "My object in this chapter is to shew that there is no fundamental difference between man and the higher mammals in their mental faculties."  MacCormick perpetuates this glaring falsehood by stating this:

"Second, humans were once thought to be qualitatively distinct from nonhuman animals. But since the 19th century, Darwinism has gradually eroded that view."

MacCormick makes the false insinuation that scientists are unanimous in their belief in Darwinism, an insinuation as false as his claim that vitalism went extinct.  He senselessly states "humans must relinquish another supposedly special attribute: the notion that our minds are qualitatively different from other information-processing systems."  As it is perfectly obvious that human minds are in very many ways qualitatively different from all other information-processing systems, I need merely ask: why do Darwinism enthusiasts  continue to make so very many statements like this that are so obviously false?

Instead of computer technology doing something to show the validity of Darwinism, the opposite occurred. What actually happened is that Darwinism flunked the software test. 

There is a way of testing Darwinian claims: by trying to create software that makes use of so-called natural selection and random mutations, trying to achieve software engineering effects by "the preservation and accumulation of successive slight favorable variations," which is how Darwin defined natural selection. When computer programmers started to try this decades ago, some of them were very optimistic. There were quite a few people who thought along these lines:

“Why think of how much natural selection and random mutations have produced in the natural world: all the very complex innovations of biology such as eyes, ears, wings and brains! If we only put natural selection and random mutations to work inside the computer, we can unleash vast forces of creativity. It will be a software revolution. Instead of manually creating programs through human design and human labor, we will be able to evolve software in a Darwinian fashion.”

For decades, many programmers have attempted to get natural selection to work inside the computer. How successful have they been? We can find the answer in a paper by Roman V. Yampolskiy entitled 'Why We Do Not Evolve Software? Analysis of Evolutionary Algorithms.”

Yampolskiy examines attempts to create software by using Darwinian methods. He points out that there is a great deal of hype about such attempts that does not match the meager results. Talking about evolutionary algorithms (EA), Yampolskiy states the following:

"It is interesting to do a thought experiments and try to imagine what testable predictions Charles Darwin would have made, had he made his discovery today, with full knowledge of modern bioinformatics and of computer science. His predictions may have included the following: (1) simulations of evolution will produce statistically similar results at least with respect to complexity of artifacts produced and (2) if running EAs for as long as possible continued to produce nontrivial outputs, scientists would run them forever. Likewise, he would be able to make some predictions, which would be able to falsify his theory, such as (1) representative simulations of evolution will not produce similar results to those observed in nature, (2) researchers will not be able to evolve software or other complex or novel artifacts, and (3) there will not be any projects running EAs long term because their outputs would quickly stop improving and stabilize. With respect to the public and general cultural knowledge, it would be reasonable to predict that educated people would know the longest-running EA and the most complex evolved algorithm. Similarly, even schoolchildren would know the most complex digital organism ever evolved."

Later, after reviewing work in this area, Yampolskiy states that both of the predictions that should have proven true if Darwinism is correct have not proven true. He also states that all of the listed events to falsify Darwinism have occurred. Specifically, representative simulations of evolution have not produced similar results to those observed in nature; researchers have not been able to evolve software or other complex or novel artifacts; and there have not been any projects running evolutionary algorithms long term. Moreover, no one can list the name of the longest-running evolutionary algorithm or the most complex evolutionary algorithm; and no one can name any complex digital organism that ever evolved. "Evolved" here does mean going through purposeful improvements directed by a software development team. 

It is now the year 2026, and the “Darwinian revolution” predicted for software development simply hasn't occurred. Computer programs are still being produced by human design and human labor, and by computer programs that do not use any type of evolutionary algorithm.  There has been some progress in automatic programming by means of code generators, but such code generators don't use anything like so-called natural selection. 

The results of programs running “evolutionary algorithms” are rather trivial things that aren't very complex – things such as character strings. There is no very complex commercially successful computer program that was produced through any type of evolutionary algorithm.  Computer programs using a Darwinian scheme can accomplish some useful things, but it is generally true that such programs could accomplish just as much with fewer lines of code if they were not to use a Darwinian scheme.  Our software engineers have not been able to mine any useful engineering principles from studying the ideas of Darwin, who seems to have had no knowledge of engineering or any interest in it. 

I was a full-time software developer for decades, working for some very large corporations.  I never made use of any Darwinian method while doing software development, and I also never heard of anyone at any company I worked for making use of anything resembling a Darwinian method. I never heard anyone at such companies ever even suggest the possibility of using a Darwinian method.  

A good software developer can probably think rather easily of why a tool such as a random character generator (analogous to Darwinian random mutations) or a random character changer would be worthless in developing useful software products. The reason is that useful software products require very special purposeful arrangements of a huge number of characters, which must be purposefully organized to achieve a useful result.  And it is not true at all that you can do something like accumulate your way to a beneficial result by following methods such as "just save the good characters and discard the bad characters" or "just save the good words and discard the bad words."   That is because being beneficial in not some early-in-the-game attribute possessed individually by tiny things such as characters or words, but a late-in-the-game quality possessed by purposeful organizations of very many tiny things arranged in just the right way to have a beneficial effect. 

Work in so-called artificial intelligence does not involve any type of evolutionary algorithm anything like so-called natural selection.  The truth is that software engineering applied a major test to Darwinism, and Darwinism flunked that test. Darwinian ideas are worthless in generating useful very complex software inventions.  And Darwinist ideas are worthless in explaining the origin of very complex and enormously organized biological systems containing an abundance of interdependent parts. The  reasons why a Darwinian approach fails to work at creating software inventions are largely the same reasons why Darwinism fails as an explanation for biological organisms that are more complex and more organized and more fine-tuned than any software application ever written. 

I may note the glaring  contradiction involved when MacCormick makes the hugely untrue claim that "all life can be explained in terms of physics and chemistry," while also trying to perpetuate the "Darwin explained the origin of species" myth.  Darwin's ideas were appeals to claimed realities of biology, and were neither physics explanations nor chemistry explanations.  In this regard, MacCormick can't get his story straight. We might ask him: so who was it you think explained life -- was it physicists and chemists, or was it instead a biologist (Darwin) who pretty much never mentioned  physics or chemistry? When making such a claim, guys like MacCormick conveniently fail to mention what these "terms of physics and chemistry" are that they claim explain "all life."  That's because they do not know of any such physics or chemistry explanations.  

There are no physics or chemistry explanations that explain the origin of life from nonlife, which cannot be reproduced in any realistic experiment, with all realistic simulations of the early Earth failing to even "get to first base" in explaining the origin of life. There are no physics or chemistry explanations that explain the nine-month progression from a speck-sized zygote to the full complexity of a newly born human being. People attempting chemistry explanations for such a miracle of organization typically appeal to falsehoods such as the untrue claim that DNA is a blueprint for making a human body (DNA and its genes actually fail to even specify how to make any cell in the body and fail to even specify how to make the organelle components of such cells).  There are no credible physics or chemistry or biology explanations for any of the main phenomena of human minds, such as selfhood, thinking, instant memory creation and instant memory recall.  There are not even any physics or chemistry factors that can explain the reproduction of any of the more complex cells in a human body, which are so organized and rich in interdependent components that the reproduction of such a cell is a feat as stupendous as a working automobile splitting up to become two working automobiles. 

Beware of AI slop, and beware of narrow-focus didn't-study-enough professors spitting out materialist slop. 


silly old biology answer
A silly old answer

Monday, May 25, 2026

Oops, That "Europa Water Plumes" Phantasm Sent NASA on a 5-Billion-Dollar "Wild Goose Chase"

 On October 15, 2024 I published a post entitled "NASA Just Launched a $5,000,000,000 'Snowball's Chance in Hell' Mission," which you can read here. I started out the post like this:

"Hurricane Milton delayed the launch of NASA's Europa Clipper mission, which occurred  on Monday. It's too bad nature can't whip up some time warp that would allow going back in time to cancel the ill-conceived mission, which will almost certainly be a waste of 5 billion dollars that won't produce any very important scientific results."

The Europa Clipper mission is heading for Europa, a moon of Jupiter. In the post I explained why there is no need for a basic investigation of this moon. Europa has already been photographed by previous space missions, and we already know what it looks like. The surface of Europa has no very interesting features, because it is solid ice. Below is a photo of Europa. 

Europa (Credit: NASA)

The diagram below shows a cutaway view of Europa, which has a liquid salty ocean underneath a layer of solid ice that is at least 6 miles (10 kilometers) thick. The water plume on the top right is marked as a "hoped-for" feature.

Europa cutaway view

In my post I described the wacky "throw ink at the wall and hope it spells correctly" gamble that is at the center of the Europa Clipper mission:

"But NASA scientists have a loony kind of 'bet all your retirement savings on a 9-digit lottery number' idea about how the Europa Clipper spacecraft might detect life. The scientists hope that it might be able to fly through a water geyser erupting on Europa, and sniff signs of life in water vapor. A NASA video told us that Europa 'might be erupting plumes of water,' and that 'if that's true, then we could fly through those plumes with the spacecraft.'  There are two reasons why there is virtually no hope that such a thing would ever succeed in detecting life."

I discussed the first reason, which is the gigantic improbability that life could accidentally arise from non-life. I then discussed the second reason, which is the gigantic improbability of Europa Clipper detecting life on Europa even if it exists in Europa's ocean under its ice. I wrote this:

"There is another reason the 'sniff life from a water geyser's vapor'  would have virtually no chance of succeeding. The evidence that water plumes even occur on Europa is only borderline, with some research casting doubt on the evidence. If water plumes occur on Europa, they seem to occur only very rarely and for a short time. The paper here suggests plume 'ballistic timescales of only 1000'  seconds, making the chance of a spacecraft flying through a plume incredibly unlikely (less than the chance of me dying from stray gunfire).  Europa's suspected ocean (the only place where life could exist) is 10 to 25 kilometers below a layer of ice, making it all but impossible that geysers could shoot out microbes through such an ice layer." 

Recently there was published a new paper suggesting I was right on the topic. It is a paper entitled "Europa’s Lyman-α emissions from HST/STIS observations." The HST referred to is the Hubble Space Telescope. The paper states, "We find evidence to support a persistent hydrogen exosphere at Europa, but no evidence of localized water vapor." A Universe Today article on the paper has the headline, "It Looks Like Europa Doesn't Have Plumes of Water Vapour After All." 

Oops, it seems like NASA has wasted 5 billion dollars on the silliest of wild goose chases, by sending a robotic spaceship to one of Jupiter's moons, to sniff water vapor plumes that don't exist. All that is likely to come from the Europa Clipper mission is some nice close-up photos of ice cracks.  It will be the kind of basically worthless result that would have occurred if some billionaire had launched drones to Antarctica, to get photos of barren ice cracks. You might compare the Europa Clipper mission to a project that puts super-expensive odor detection equipment in every reported haunted house, with the goal of sniffing ghost smells. 

It seems the Europa water-vapor plumes are one of the many chimeras conjured up by overeager scientists trying to create evidence of things they eagerly hope for. Scientists have endless ways to conjure up such illusory fancies, as I explain in my post "Scientists Have a Hundred Ways To Conjure Up Phantasms That Don't Exist." Such mirages tend to arise more often whenever there is something that scientists eagerly long for. In this case you had scientists eagerly hoping for a pathway that might allow for a detection of extraterrestrial life in the solar system. So they put their eager hopes in the driver's seat.  To read about some of the sociology at play when such goofs occur, read my post here entitled "The Social Construction of Eager Community Mirages."

Postscript: In an interview talking about the recent release of UFO-related information, astronomer Avi Loeb cites another case of a multi-billion dollar "wild goose chase" in which eager hopes were in the driver's seat:

"The physics community was advocating for a new symmetry of nature: Supersymmetry. Ten billion dollars were invested in CERN’s Large Hadron Collider, in part to search for this symmetry. We did not find it. So, it’s not always true that the mainstream knows what it’s talking about."